|JLL Reports Robust 2015 Real Estate Investment, Predicts Modest Growth in 2016 |
New York and London attract most investment as real estate strengthens
role as a key global asset class and driver of city success
CHICAGO and LONDON, January 20, 2016 — According to new research by JLL (NYSE:JLL), total direct real estate investment reached just over US$700 billion in 2015 – on par with 2014 levels – with further modest expansion predicted for 2016. Institutional investors continue to allocate significant capital to real estate, and they are broadening their investment to include segments such as student housing, healthcare and the private rented residential sector in markets outside the U.S.
As business and political leaders convene to discuss global issues at the World Economic Forum annual meeting in Davos, Switzerland, it is clear that real estate has established itself as a key driver of economic growth in both established and emerging cities across the globe. The top 30 cities accounted for nearly half of total global real estate investment in 2015.
|According to Colin Dyer, CEO of JLL: “As we mark another year of robust commercial real estate investment, we are optimistic the market is still on track to average US$1 trillion per year by the early 2020s. While the ‘Big 6’ cities of New York, London, Tokyo, Paris, Hong Kong and Singapore will continue to lead in terms of transactional activity, we anticipate more cities will become investible and challenge the ‘Big 6.’”|
The research from JLL identifies several trends in city investment:
- Investor demand for prime assets in the world’s most globalized metropolitan economies reached a new record in 2015, with New York overtaking London in investment levels. At US$92 billion, these two cities combined accounted for 13 percent of global activity.
- U.S. cities accounted for nearly half of the Top 30 cities in 2015. Seattle, San Diego and Miami registered sharp growth in investment activity and re-entered the Top 30.
- Overall global commercial real estate investment in 2015 was just 1 percent below 2014 levels (at US$704 billion) and 7 percent below the all-time high in 2007 (US$758 billion). Nonetheless, the strength of the U.S. dollar underplayed the true level of market activity in 2015, and at fixed exchange rates full-year volumes would be a record US$765 billion.
- Direct commercial real estate investment into emerging markets (excluding China) fell by one-third, from 8 percent of the global total in 2014 to 5.5 percent in 2015. Factors included China’s slowdown, lower commodity prices and the negative impact of higher U.S. interest rates on emerging market currencies. Shanghai and Beijing, however, had a stronger 2015 and remain the only emerging world cities among the Top 30.
- There is particularly strong investor interest in ‘New World Cities,’ which are small- to medium-sized, have a favourable infrastructure and liveability platform and have achieved global reach through specialization. Examples include San Francisco, Seattle, Munich, Miami and Melbourne. A core set of 32 ‘New World Cities’ now account for over 20 percent of global real estate investment compared to about 10 percent in 2006.
- Economic and real estate rebounds in Southern Europe prompted Madrid and Milan’s presence in the Top 30 for the first time since 2009.
To read more of JLL’s research on capital flow and city trends, visit www.jll.com/cities-research.
JLL (NYSE: JLL) is a professional services and investment management firm offering specialized real estate services to clients seeking increased value by owning, occupying and investing in real estate. A Fortune 500 company with annual fee revenue of $4.7 billion and gross revenue of $5.4 billion, JLL has more than 230 corporate offices, operates in 80 countries and has a global workforce of approximately 58,000. On behalf of its clients, the firm provides management and real estate outsourcing services for a property portfolio of 3.4 billion square feet, or 316 million square meters, and completed $118 billion in sales, acquisitions and finance transactions in 2014. Its investment management business, LaSalle Investment Management, has $57.2 billion of real estate assets under management. JLL is the brand name, and a registered trademark, of Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated. For further information, visit www.jll.com.
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